Polls are not predictions. National vote share does not equal seats under first-past-the-post. PollCheck’s 7-poll average (updated 10 Oct 2026): Labour 28.1%, Reform UK 23.4%, Conservatives 19.1%, Greens 9.9%, Lib Dems 9.4%.
Schematic UK nations block (illustrative colours by largest party nationally — not a constituency cartogram).
Selected nation / region notes
Region
Leading / winner
Seats / EV
Detail
Great Britain + NI (total)
Labour
650
All 650 seats declared
Labour (GB+NI party table)
Labour
411
Official party seat total
Conservative
Conservative
121
Official party seat total
Liberal Democrat
Liberal Democrat
72
Official party seat total
SNP (Scotland contests)
SNP
9
57 constituencies contested
Sinn Féin (NI)
Sinn Féin
7
Does not take Commons seats
Seat and vote figures from UK Parliament election results and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009 (verified local authority declarations). Other parties and independents hold the remaining seats.