What did the latest Nanos poll show for Toronto mayor?

Chow leads Bradford by 3.5 points among decided voters, with 17% undecided, in a survey done Oct 8–10, 2026.

What is the poll’s margin of error?

Nanos says ±3.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Toronto Mayor Poll: Chow Leads Bradford by 3.5 Points

By VSH Editorial Desk · Published October 13, 2026, 9:15 AM EDT · Last updated October 13, 2026, 9:15 AM EDT

Nathan Phillips Square and Toronto City Hall panorama — Photo: “Nathan Phillips Square, Toronto; September 2019” by Bernard Spragg. NZ · CC0 1.0 · via Openverse (wikimedia)

In brief

Olivia Chow’s lead over Brad Bradford in the Toronto mayoral race has narrowed to 3.5 points among decided voters, according to a CP24/CTV News Toronto/Nanos survey of 757 residents conducted October 8–10, 2026. With 17% undecided, Nanos describes the race as an open contest.

Who is leading the Toronto mayor race? Incumbent Olivia Chow still leads, but Brad Bradford has closed the gap, Nanos says. The firm reports Chow is stronger in Toronto and East York, among women and voters under 55, while Bradford does better in North York, among men and voters 55 and older.

How was the Nanos Toronto poll done?

Nanos surveyed 757 Toronto residents aged 18 and over by telephone and online, from Oct 8 to 10. The firm gives a margin of error of ±3.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

How did it change from the last poll?

Nanos’s earlier wave (Sept 30–Oct 4, released October 6) had Chow at 52.4%, Bradford at 42.6% and Chris Alexander at 4.0% among decided voters. CTV News reports Alexander has since said he will leave the race. In the new wave, including undecided voters, Chow is at 43%, Bradford 39% and 17% are undecided.

Are polls predictions?

No. Polls are snapshots of opinion on the dates surveyed. Turnout and late deciders can change the result on October 26. See the poll table on our elections hub.

Coverage based on the linked reports; figures can be updated by publishers. ViralScopeHub is an independent site and is not responsible for decisions made from this summary — verify with the sources listed below.

Why it matters

Canada’s largest city chooses a mayor on Oct 26, and the race looks closer than earlier polls showed.

Sources

Every ViralScopeHub news item is an original summary written in our own words. We link to the original reporting so you can read the full story from the publisher.