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Canada Federal Polls Latest: 338Canada and Named Trackers
In brief
338Canada’s federal update dated 11 Oct 2026 aggregates weighted polls into popular-vote and seat models (party pages cited Liberals near 46.8% and Conservatives near 32.0%). Individual trackers such as Liaison’s 12 Oct release had Liberals 45% and Conservatives 29% among decided/leaning voters. Polls are not predictions.
338Canada’s federal update dated 11 Oct 2026 aggregates weighted polls into popular-vote and seat models (party pages cited Liberals near 46.8% and Conservatives near 32.0%). Individual trackers such as Liaison’s 12 Oct release had Liberals 45% and Conservatives 29% among decided/leaning voters. Polls are not predictions.
What does 338Canada publish?
338Canada combines opinion polls with modelling. Its popular-vote averages and seat projections are not ballots. Always read the methodology note on the site.
Recent individual federal polls
- Liaison Strategies (27 Sep–10 Oct 2026, n=1,263): Liberals 45%, Conservatives 29% among decided and leaning voters.
- Nanos Research rolling window ending 2 Oct 2026 is summarised on 338Canada with Conservatives near 28% and NDP near 11% in that release’s comparison note.
See the full table on our Canada elections page and Latest polls on the hub.
When is the next federal election?
After the 28 Apr 2025 election, the next federal date depends on dissolution. Confirm on Elections Canada.
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Last updated: 12 Oct 2026. Polls are not predictions. Re-check linked aggregators and commissions before citing figures.
Why it matters
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People also ask
Is a seat projection the same as a poll?
No. Seat models translate vote shares into ridings. They can be wrong even if vote averages look stable.
Do provincial polls belong here?
Provincial races use Elections Ontario and other provincial agencies. See /elections/canada-ontario/ for Ontario.
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No. We stay neutral and cite named sources with dates.
Sources
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