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🇨🇦 Canada election results

Official, sourced figures for Canada. Neutral desk — not a live feed. Commission: Elections Canada.

Countdown

1099
Canada: 1099 days until Next federal GE (outer window)

House of Commons ·

Latest polls

Poll-average charts, trend lines and a table of named individual surveys. Polls are not predictions.

Latest polls

Canada: Federal voting intention (next election window)

Aggregator: 338Canada weighted poll average + named pollsters · As of: · Last updated:

Poll average

Liberal
46.8%
Conservative
32%
NDP
10.3%
Bloc / others
10.9%

Poll-average trend

08-0109-0110-0110-11 Liberal Conservative
Federal popular-vote snapshots from named trackers (Liberal vs Conservative). Aggregator models revise weekly.

Latest individual polls

PollsterFieldworkSampleLiberalConservativeNDPBlocGreenSource
Liaison Strategies 2026-09-27 to 2026-10-10 1,263 45%29%15%6%2% Liaison Federal Tracker 12 Oct 2026
Nanos Research (rolling) 2026-09-11 to 2026-10-02 1,020 see source28%11%—— 338Canada — Nanos Oct 2026
338Canada model average 2026-10-11 weighted avg 46.8%32%10.3%—— 338Canada federal

Polls are not predictions. 338Canada’s 11 Oct 2026 federal projection used a weighted average of polls (LPC ~46.8%, CPC ~32.0%, NDP ~10.3% popular vote in party pages). Individual surveys below name the pollster. Seat projections are model outputs, not ballots.

Primary tracker: 338Canada federal · Full election page →

Winner

Liberal Party won 169 seats — most seats

28 Apr 2025 · 343 House of Commons seats (majority 172)

2025 federal general election (45th)

343 House of Commons seats (majority 172) · Last updated:

Seats

Liberal 169 seats
Conservative 144 seats
Bloc 22 seats
NDP 7 seats
Green 1 seats

Popular / valid vote share

Liberal 43.76% · 8,595,488 votes
Conservative 41.31% · 8,113,484 votes
Bloc 6.29% · 1,236,349 votes
NDP 6.29% · 1,234,673 votes
Green 1.22% · 238,892 votes
Party / ticketSeatsVote %Votes
Liberal Party of Canada 169 43.76% 8,595,488
Conservative Party of Canada 144 41.31% 8,113,484
Bloc Québécois 22 6.29% 1,236,349
New Democratic Party 7 6.29% 1,234,673
Green Party of Canada 1 1.22% 238,892

Results map

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Schematic province grid by plurality of seats (not a riding cartogram).

Seats by province / territory (official)

RegionLeading / winnerSeats / EVDetail
Ontario Liberal 122 Liberal 70 · Conservative 52
Quebec Liberal 78 Liberal 44 · Conservative 11 · Bloc 22 · NDP 1
British Columbia Liberal 43 Liberal 20 · Conservative 19 · NDP 3 · Green 1
Alberta Conservative 37 Conservative 34 · Liberal 2 · NDP 1
Manitoba Conservative 14 Conservative 7 · Liberal 6 · NDP 1
Saskatchewan Conservative 14 Conservative 13 · Liberal 1
Nova Scotia Liberal 11 Liberal 10 · Conservative 1
New Brunswick Liberal 10 Liberal 6 · Conservative 4
Newfoundland and Labrador Liberal 7 Liberal 4 · Conservative 3
Prince Edward Island Liberal 4 Liberal 4
Yukon Liberal 1 Liberal 1
Northwest Territories Liberal 1 Liberal 1
Nunavut NDP 1 NDP 1

Seat and valid-vote totals from Elections Canada Official Voting Results for the 45th general election (343 seats after 2022 redistribution).

History explainers

Long-form: read the ViralScopeHub explainer.

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