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UK Voting Intention Polls Latest: Labour, Reform and Conservatives
In brief
YouGov’s 4–5 Oct 2026 Times/Sky poll put Labour on 27%, Reform UK 22% and Conservatives 20% among GB adults. PollCheck’s 7-poll average around 10 Oct 2026 had Labour ~28.1%, Reform ~23.4% and Conservatives ~19.1%. National vote share is not the same as Commons seats under first-past-the-post. Polls are not predictions.
YouGov’s 4–5 Oct 2026 Times/Sky poll put Labour on 27%, Reform UK 22% and Conservatives 20% among GB adults. PollCheck’s 7-poll average around 10 Oct 2026 had Labour ~28.1%, Reform ~23.4% and Conservatives ~19.1%. National vote share is not the same as Commons seats under first-past-the-post. Polls are not predictions.
Why vote share ≠ seats
The UK uses first-past-the-post in constituencies. A party can lead nationally in polls and still face a different Commons map. Treat national VI as one indicator only.
Named recent polls
- YouGov for The Times and Sky News, fieldwork 4–5 Oct 2026 (n=2,312 GB adults): Lab 27, Ref 22, Con 20, LD 11, Grn 11.
- Opinium, Survation and More in Common releases in early October 2026 are tabulated on independent scorecards such as Mark Pack’s.
Charts and the individual-poll table live on our UK elections page.
When is the next general election?
The outer bound after July 2024 is mid-2029; an earlier election remains possible. Confirm on the Electoral Commission.
Related on ViralScopeHub: elections hub · Latest polls · news · USA · Canada · India · World.
Last updated: 12 Oct 2026. Polls are not predictions. Re-check linked aggregators and commissions before citing figures.
Why it matters
High-intent latest polls search; featured-snippet lead; links elections Latest polls hub.
People also ask
Can Reform UK lead seats if it trails Labour in vote share?
Seat outcomes depend on constituency distributions. National VI alone cannot answer that.
Are MRP seat projections polls?
MRP models estimate seats from survey data plus demographics. They are not official results.
Where is London mayoral history?
See /elections/uk-london/ for the 2024 mayoral result and the next expected cycle.
Sources
Every ViralScopeHub news item is an original summary written in our own words. We link to the original reporting so you can read the full story from the publisher.