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Abacus: Liberals lead Conservatives 46% to 34%
In brief
Abacus Data's national survey of 3,197 Canadian adults from 2-13 October 2026 finds the Liberals at 46% and Conservatives at 34% among committed voters, a 12-point gap unchanged from 23 September. Cost of living remains the top issue at 64%.
Vote intention
Among committed voters, Abacus reported Liberals 46%, Conservatives 34%, NDP 9%, Bloc Québécois 7%, Greens 3% and People's Party 1%. The margin for a comparable probability sample of this size is about ±1.7 points, 19 times out of 20, Abacus said.
Issues and approval
Sixty-four percent selected rising cost of living among their top three issues. Concern about Donald Trump and his administration fell to 40%. Federal government approval was 57% (down three points from late September) with 29% disapproving.
Regional note
Abacus showed Liberals leading in Ontario (50% to 35%), Quebec and Atlantic Canada, while Conservatives led in Alberta (52%).
Last updated: 14 Oct 2026. Polls are not predictions. ViralScopeHub is independent.
Why it matters
Federal vote intention helps Canadians follow politics between elections and compare pollsters.
Related free tools: Percentage Calculator, Canada Income Tax Calculator
Sources
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